Valoración de la contribución de una infraestructura a la sostenibilidad social bajo condiciones de incertidumbre

Nos acaban de publicar en la revista de Elsevier del primer cuartil, Environmental Impact Assessment Review, un artículo donde se valora la contribución de una infraestructura a la sostenibilidad social bajo condiciones de incertidumbre. Este artículo forma parte de nuestra línea de investigación BRIDLIFE en la que se pretenden optimizar estructuras atendiendo no solo a su coste, sino al impacto ambiental y social que generan a lo largo de su ciclo de vida.

 

 

Abstract:

Assessing the viability of a public infrastructure includes economic, technical and environmental aspects; however, on many occasions, the social aspects are not always adequately considered. This article proposes a procedure to estimate the social sustainability of infrastructure projects under conditions of uncertainty, based on a multicriteria deterministic method. The variability of the method inputs is contributed by the decision-makers. Uncertain inputs are treated through uniform and beta PERT distributions. The Monte Carlo method is used to propagate uncertainty in the method. A road infrastructure improvement case study in El Salvador illustrates this treatment. The main results determine the variability of the short and long-term social improvement indices by infrastructure and the probability of the position in prioritizing the alternatives. The proposed mechanism improves the reliability of the decision-making early in infrastructure projects, taking their social contribution into account. The results can complement environmental and economic sustainability assessments.

Keywords:

  • Infrastructure;
  • Multicriteria decision-making;
  • Uncertainty;
  • Social sustainability

 

Reference:

SIERRA, L.A.; YEPES, V.; PELLICER, E. (2017). Assessing the social sustainability contribution of an infrastructure project under conditions of uncertainty. Environmental Impact Assessment Review,67:61-72.